Paul Phua poker - A Royal Flush

In a game of Texas Holdem, how often will you be dealt a Royal Flush (10, Jack, Queen, King and Ace all in the same suit)

We’ve all done it. We’re in the casino, sitting at the poker table, and we have a reasonable hand but it’s just one card short of a great hand. And you keep putting in chips so you can stay in the hand, hoping that card WILL come along and you will have the winning hand, and that you will walk away from the casino with the pot. The trouble is, the odds of getting that perfect poker hand is often a lot lower than you might think.
Paul Phua says that to start with, you will have to play 30,940 poker hands before you get dealt a Royal Flush. But, there are few people who will ever play 30,490 poker hands in their life, so this mythical poker hand which beats all others will stay just that – a myth – for the vast majority of poker players. Even getting a start at that hand – being dealt Ace King suited – only happens one time in 331 hands of poker.
OK, so you’ve rolled back your ambitions for poker night. All that would make you happy is just to be dealt a pair of Aces. Not going to be that unusual huh? Hmm. You’ll have to wait for on average 221 hands to be dealt that little bundle of joy. In fact, in a casino you’re actually much more likely to get a start on a straight in your hole cards. You’ll only have to wait between five and six hands on average to be dealt connectors – two cards in any suit of consecutive rank.
Here’s a statistic to make your mind hurt. In a casino game of Texas Holdem with six players, there are more than a quadrillion different hand combinations dealt at the start of the poker game. That’s 15 zeros. It shows you how skilled those poker stars are that have a sixth sense of what cards their opponents are holding. And it’s always worth remembering that in Texas Holdem, the more players are at the poker table, the less likely you are to win, and the better the set of cards you have need to be in order for you to walk away from the casino with the pot. Unless you bluff successfully of course!

Why does the Ace of Spades often have the manufacturer’s logo on it?

ace-of-spades
In Texas Holdem poker, the suits have the same value as each other. So a straight flush 45678 of hearts has exactly the same ranking as the same hand in spades. In many card games though, the spades are the highest ranking suit. And therefore the Ace of spades is the highest ranking card out of the 52 standard ones in the deck. While this does not hold in Texas Holdem poker games, this is true in Bridge for example, one of the most popular card games in the English speaking world. It’s use in popular culture – songs, and the Second World War when soldiers put the card in the side of their helmets to indicate good luck – just carried on that perception. It’s the highest value card in many games, so you are lucky if you have been dealt it in the casino.
But the Ace of spades isn’t important for just that reason. It’s also the card that has traditionally carried the manufacturer’s logo on it. The reason for this goes back to the time of the reign of James 1st of England (who was also James 6th of Scotland) in the early 17th century. He introduced a new tax on playing cards, and decided that the Ace of spades should carry a logo showing the maker of the pack. This was proof that the tax had been paid. So it was lucky for both soldiers in the 20th century, and kings in the 17th!

When you are in the casino at the beginning of a poker game, and you have lots of chips, the blinds are something you hardly notice. Towards the end of a poker night, especially if things aren’t going so well and your chip pile is lower than you’d like it to be, or the blind bets are increasing in size, then the blind can really eat into your stack.
The Blinds Poker
Some poker games have antes – forced bets. But Texas Holdem doesn’t, meaning you can fold your cards without betting. Texas Holdem poker does have something called blinds though. They are another type of forced bet, but this time before you have been dealt your cards. Like antes, they exist so that there is a cost to playing, so the poker games don’t go on and on with players just waiting to be dealt a great hand. Paul Phua thinks that the blind keeps the momentum up, and ensures the game of poker finishes within a reasonable time frame – especially since the blinds often increase in value during a game of Texas Holdem to speed things up even further.

There are mainly two blinds in Texas Holdem – the big and small blind, but there can sometimes be three players who have to make them.

The name comes from the fact that players are being asked to bet without seeing their hands. They are betting blind, with no knowledge of the hand’s worth. So in the casino, whether you hold a 2 and a 3 unsuited, or a pair of aces – before you see your hand it’s all the same.
Paul Phua says the blind also marks potential poker strategy. Depending on your position around the poker table in a casino, or a social poker night where the dealer changes as the “button” moves from player to player, you will have to give certain blinds. Being in the small blind spot on a poker table is a disadvantage because you will be the first to act in every round after the flop. But Paul Phua’s poker tip is to remember never feel committed to a pot simply because you have paid your blind, especially in Texas Holdem, and not be afraid to enter a pot if you have a strong enough hand.

Paul Phua may not have won the big prize at this year’s 11 million Euro first prize Monte Carlo One Drop, but he got a great second best. On the last day of the four day event – one of the richest on the poker calendar – Paul Phua won the €752,700 pot on Monday’s re-entry poker game. He beat a field of 12 other players around the poker table, coming out on top against Mikita Badziakouski from Belarus in a final heads-up battle. It’s Paul’s second biggest ever win in tournament play. At one stage in the game, Paul Phua sent professionals of the standard of Andrew Robl and Tom Marchese to the spectator rail after a three-way all in.

Over 11% of the poker tournament buy-ins go to charity – all the money raised goes directly to One Drop’s water-access projects. For more on what One Drop does – visit https://www.onedrop.org/en/.

Yes, and I’ll tell you why.

For the first few years that I played poker, I often showed my set of cards at the end of the poker hand when I was bluffing (which wasn’t often).

I wanted to get the impression in people’s heads that I was a bit of a repeat bluffer. Maybe I would even throw in a few “tells” to sell the story!

This is a complete poker star strategy – make them think you are a repeat bluffer so that sometimes they would call, when, in reality, you have a good hand.

In another phase of my life in casino games, especially Texas Holdem, I then switched to doing the opposite.

For the last few years, I have begun bluffing a lot more in poker games to get more equity. However, other players around the poker table don’t know that. Because now I show my “real” hands, and not my fake ones at the end. This is to give the impression that I am a solid player, who doesn’t bluff so much.

Perception and reality!

Here is a quick poker tip from me on a question I am often asked – how often you should fold, and how often should you stay on in the hand during a poker game?

Too many players play the same percentage of poker hands no matter what the situation of the game is.

That’s a mistake.

For example, if you are in the casino and you know you are playing against weaker players, you should play more hands, and fold less. That’s what I do. In terms of poker strategy, post flop is where skill comes in. Better poker players will always come out on top. So give yourself that chance. Against stronger players, be more conservative.

The number of players at the table on poker night is also important. For example, when there are 9 players, there are 9 sets of cards. It’s tough to have the winning hand in that situation. And you should be careful about spending too much money to see a flop when you might only have a small chance of winning the poker hand. A good hand in a 3 handed game is not the same as in a 9 handed game.

Amateur poker players don’t make this calculation often enough. Even between 4 and 6 players, there’s a lot of difference. Say a Texas Holdem game starts with just four players. But then after an hour another 2 sit down around the poker table and join in. Amateur players will often carry on playing the same way. They shouldn’t. The game has changed, and the difficulty of getting a winning poker hand has too.

Position around the poker table is important too of course. This is another poker tip to remember and to bear in mind.

Don’t keep playing the same percentage of hands every game. Assess the circumstances and the poker players in the casino first.

The Nuts Poker

In Texas Holdem if you have been dealt the Nuts, you shouldn’t be afraid!

It sounds very painful. But don’t worry. If you are holding the nuts in Texas Holdem, you should be celebrating not wincing. In poker games, a nut hand means that you have an unbeatable hand. And just as importantly one that you know to be unbeatable. This can refer to any point after the flop (it is impossible to know you have the best hand pre flop, as two players can have a pair of aces). So it can mean the best hand at a given moment in the round during a poker game, but also the best hand after the river has been dealt, so at its conclusion too.

Two examples.

The river has been dealt during a poker night, and the community cards are 5 of hearts, 3 of clubs, Ace of spades, Ace of hearts and 4 of diamonds. Any player who holds the other two aces cannot be beaten. However, you don’t have to hold both aces to know you can’t be beaten. If you only hold one of the aces, but also have one of the other 5s, you also know you can’t be beaten, because there is only one other Ace that could possibly be in circulation. You might be matched (with another player also having Ace 5), but you can’t be beaten. Two nuts, as it were.

Every poker player has their strengths and weaknesses.

Even myself; there are things in my poker game I would still like to improve on. But I’d say my biggest strength is my temperament during casino games. And that is never tested more than when you lose a big pot on poker night.
When that happens to me I say to myself, “OK Paul, this just happened, don’t worry too much about it”. I then switch as soon as I can to wanting to learn from the experience. I’ll ask myself if I played the hand badly. I’ll then ask someone else whose opinion I rate the same question – could I have done better? Or maybe I’ll just admit to myself, “you know what, you were just unlucky”.
It’s important to control your emotions in Texas Holdem, to stay calm. Because if you don’t it can affect your play and make you choose the wrong poker strategies. That’s my biggest strength over other players
I’ve seen lots of technically good players lose their cool in the casino. Many, many good players and poker stars can slip. These are players who were supposed to be able to beat me hands down on the poker table. But over the course of a 15 hour session, they maybe play well for 10 hours and they get unlucky in one hand, get angry, and so the next few hands they play badly and then lose all their chips.
It’s like being a goalkeeper at soccer. If you lose your cool, or your concentration for just a second, it can be a disaster if it happens at the wrong time. If the other players round the poker table aren’t as good as you, fine, sometimes you can get away with it. But if you are all at the same skill level, if you play one bad hand, then it’s very hard to recover. And your poker chips end up with in the hands of the other players.
Don’t lose your cool in poker games. It can cost you everything.

Lots of fun was had at the Solaire casino in Manila on the 9th and 10th September 2016.

Some of the world’s best players came to play at the Triton Charity poker tournament with Tom Dwan, Daniel Cates, Paul Phua and friends among the buy ins. Great news was that many more poker players arrived than expected, meaning more money raised for charity.

Yong, Paul Phua and Tom Dwan

17 players and 60 buy ins over the two days, saw Wai Kin Yong take the top prize of 6,155,600 HKD (ca. 800,000 USD), with Paul Phua coming a respectable third, claiming 2,572,000 HKD (330,000 USD).

paul phua triton charity
Triton Poker donated 1,150,000 Philippine Pesos (ca 24,000 USD) to Project Pink Philippines, a support group for cancer patients and their families in the Philippines. To find out more about them, and to donate, visit http://www.projectpink.org.ph/
paul phua triton solaire